- Gold Derby forum opened Part 4 of its 2026 Best Actress predictions thread.
- Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) sits atop combined odds at 92.9%.
- Forum users debate possible snubs, with Rose Byrne and others discussed.
- Community comparisons to past Oscar surprises and snubs drive the conversation.
H2: Gold Derby opens Part 4 of Best Actress predictions
Gold Derby’s forums have launched Part 4 of the community discussion around Oscars 2026 Best Actress predictions. The thread — active with dozens of users and dozens of replies — collects fan picks, debates about frontrunners and worries about potential Academy snubs as awards season accelerates.
H3: Jessie Buckley emerges as the front-runner
The site’s combined odds list places Jessie Buckley, for Hamnet, as the clear favorite in the Best Actress race with a 92.9% chance. Forum members reacted quickly to those numbers, with some users praising Buckley’s performance and others predicting she will translate critics’ success into an eventual Oscar nomination and win.
Forum excerpt:
“Future Academy Award winner Jessie Buckley. ☘️” — User Kubrick
H3: Debate over snubs and vote-splitting
A sizeable part of the conversation focuses on whether critical darlings can still be left off the final Oscar ballot. One forum poster referenced a string of past precursor-era surprises — including Jake Gyllenhaal (2014), Jennifer Lopez (2019) and Tilda Swinton (2011) — to argue that strong precursor showings don’t guarantee an Academy nomination.
Several users flagged Rose Byrne’s performance as a likely discussion point, arguing it fits the profile of performances that sometimes get snubbed despite awards-season momentum. Others pushed back, listing contenders such as Tessa Thompson and noting how televised precursors and critics’ awards can influence narratives heading into nominations.
H3: Community context and wider awards odds
The thread also sits alongside Gold Derby’s broader combined odds for Oscars 2026, which list projected favorites across major categories — from One Battle After Another as the front-runner for Best Picture to Paul Thomas Anderson leading Best Director. But for Best Actress, Buckley’s strong percentage has become the central talking point in the forum.
H4: What to watch next
As nominations day approaches, forum users will be watching televised precursor awards, guild results and the Golden Globes closely. Those events often shift momentum and sometimes reveal surprises that reshape the list of contenders.
For now, the community consensus on Gold Derby’s Part 4 thread is clear: Jessie Buckley has the lead in Oscars 2026 Best Actress predictions, but conversation remains lively about who else might make the cut — and who could be shockingly left out.
Follow the Gold Derby forum thread for ongoing updates and to see how user predictions change as awards season unfolds.
Image Referance: https://www.goldderby.com/topic/2026-oscar-predictions-best-actress-part-4/
